Milestone hit, but I'm checking the error bars

50m ago 11 views 1 post

I weigh daily and mostly trust the 7-day average. This week that average finally sat below 200 for two mornings — 199.4 and 199.1 — while individual readings bounced from 198.2 to 201.8. My brain wants to declare it done; my spreadsheet says that's a tiny signal in a lot of noise. For those who track this way, what rule do you use before you count a milestone as real? Three straight days under? A full week? Waist measurement agreeing? I'd rather borrow a concrete rule than just pick the number that flatters me. If you have a source or even a personal threshold that held up over time, I'm listening.