First-week scale drop looked dramatic, then trendline shrugged

I logged every morning like usual. Day 2–3: scale fell 2.6 lbs. Day 4: rebound 1.1. Day 7: net 1.5 below start, but my 7-day average is basically a gentle slope. I know the first drop is glycogen and water plus less food volume. It felt good, but I didn’t rewrite my whole identity over it. I took measurements at the same time, kept protein and walks steady, and let the line do the talking. The number that mattered wasn’t the smallest daily reading; it was that the trend didn’t spike after a salty dinner. For anyone early: the scale can be loud and still not be the whole story. What helped you separate first-week noise from actual fat loss?